Inmobiliario · 28 April 2026 · 8 min

Leverage stress test: when a mortgage breaks cash flow

A 3.5% mortgage turns an attractive deal into a negative one sooner than expected. How to model it.

Leverage amplifies returns when cap rate exceeds debt cost and destroys them when it doesn't.

A minimum stress test should cover: a 150 bp rate hike, 8% vacancy, a yearly extraordinary community fee equivalent to one month, and a 10% rent drop.

When the combination produces negative leveraged cash flow for more than 24 consecutive months, the deal relies on appreciation, not yield. That is a different wealth decision and deserves to be explicit.

Apply this reasoning to your own property.